The betting line shifted from Tar Heels -4.5 to Michigan State +3, yet I'm banking on Tar Heels' victory. It's wise to wait as the line might drop further with Saturday's influx of public bets. With a noticeable gap in offensive talent, Sparty's reliance on perimeter shooting could spell trouble. My trust lies in the Heels' offense. Pick: North Carolina -3.5.

Gonzaga opened as slight favorites, their advantage growing against Kansas. With the Zags' strong form and Kansas' issues, expect a big win for Gonzaga. Kansas faces a quick turnaround against a tough, high-performing team, compounded by McCullar's absence. The lack of depth may hurt Kansas, while Gonzaga's role players and hot offense should secure victory. Pick: Gonzaga -4.5

With UConn's potent offense and Stetson's weak defense, the over 145.5 bet looks promising. UConn could easily surpass 85 points, requiring Stetson to reach the mid-60s for the over to succeed. Both teams' solid 3-point shooting enhances the chances of hitting this over. Pick: Over 145.5

Analyzing the game thoroughly, Marquette's -14.5 spread emerges as the top choice. Their efficient play, defensive prowess, and turnover management outweigh Western Kentucky's strengths. Playing on a neutral court enhances Marquette's strategic advantage. Expect the Golden Eagles to cover and progress in the tournament. Pick: Marquette -14.5

The Auburn Tigers, strong in offense and defense, face the Yale Bulldogs known for low turnovers but weak overall performance. Tigers excel in shooting and defense, while Bulldogs struggle with 3-point and interior defense. With tougher matchups and better defense, Auburn's -12.5 odds favor them to cover.

McNeese has its issues on the interior, but this Gonzaga team does not have many other areas to maintain an advantage. Gonzaga is favored to win for a reason, but do not expect the Cowboys to go away quietly. Bet McNeese against the spread to +4. Pick: McNeese State +6.5 (Play to +4)

And thats a win

The NCAA Tournament starts right with an under in the Spartans vs. Bulldogs game. Both teams play tough, controlling basketball, likely leading to a slow first half. With low pace and strong defenses, don't expect many 3-pointers. The Bulldogs' weak offense supports taking the under at 130.5.

The Milwaukee Bucks haven't hit an over as a road underdog this NBA season, going 0 of 8. With key players questionable and Giannis Antetokounmpo out, I'm leaning towards the under here, with a limit of around 223. Road trends for the Bucks as underdogs have favored unders, and the Celtics as home favorites tend to lean under as well. Despite the lineup, I expect a playoff-like atmosphere leading to a lower-scoring game. Pick: Under 224

The Heat started 2-1 on the road but lost to Philly. Facing the Cavs, without Mitchell, favors Miami, especially with their stronger defense. Prediction: Heat +2.5

Grambling will slow down the game, favoring half-court play. Montana State won't exploit Grambling's weaknesses, allowing Tigers to defend the 3-point line. The Under is a good bet, though markets already reflect this. Grambling, underrated, will keep the game tight. Montana State shouldn't underestimate them. Pick Grambling St. +4.5

Grambling will slow down the game, favoring half-court play. Montana State won't exploit Grambling's weaknesses, allowing Tigers to defend the 3-point line. The Under is a good bet, though markets already reflect this. Grambling, underrated, will keep the game tight. Montana State shouldn't underestimate them. Pick Grambling St. +4.5

As long as Howard is not scorching from beyond the arc, the under should have some value. Pick: Under 128 (Bet to 126)