Yankees vs Orioles Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 15 (9/15): MLB

Yankees vs Orioles Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 15 (9/15): MLB

Credit: photo by Scott Taetsch-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:05 p.m. EST
Yankees money line -190
Yankees run line -1.5 (-120)
Orioles money line +156 
Orioles run line +1.5 (+100)
Over / under 10 (+105)

 

Key stats
  Yankees Orioles
Record 81-64 46-98
Road / home record 40-33 22-50
Last 10 record 3-7 4-6
Streak 2W 4L
Over / under record 63-79-3 74-66-4
Runs / game 4.36 4.18
Runs allowed / game 4.13 6.00

 

Preview

Tonight we have the Yankees taking on the Orioles in Baltimore.  The Yankees enter this game winning 2 straight after struggling a bit.  They currently sit 9 games back in the AL East and are tied with Boston and Toronto for a wildcard spot.  They will look to pick up some wins against a weaker opponent in the Orioles.  The Orioles come into this game firmly out of the postseason.  They are a young team who has some promise if they can team that up with some better pitching. They are familiar with the Yankees so they'll look to give them a tough fight tonight.

Pitching matchup

Yankees

Nestor Cortes Jr (2-2, 2.70 ERA) will be on the mound for the visiting Yankees when they take on the Orioles.  Cortes enters this game with a 1.08 WHIP and 4.41 XFIP.  This season he carries a nice 25.5% strikeout rate along with a 6.5% walk rate. Cortes has been great this year when he's been called upon whether it be out of the pen or as a starter.  He is due to regress some.  He has been able to limit hard contact to both sides of the plate,  and has been able to command his pitches and has the stuff to get guys out.  In his last outting against this Orioles team he went 5.2 innings, allowing 1 earned run, while striking out 7 hitters. He will look to have another nice outting tonight and get this Yankees team back on track. 

Orioles

John Means (5-7, 3.42 ERA) will toe the rubber for the Orioles tonight when they take on the Yankees.  Means comes into this game with a 1.00 WHIP and 4.73 XFIP.  This season he has a 22.8% strikeout rate along with a low 4.8% walk rate.  Means is due for some regression when looking at the underlying numbers.  He is a flyball pitcher that gives up power to right handed hitters and is succeptible to the long ball. In his last start against the Yankees he went 5 innings, giving up 2 earned runs, with 5 strikeouts. He has had some success against this Yankees team but he will have his work cut out for him tonight as this team could explode on any given night.

Prediction

The Yankees come into this game struggling a bit but a matchup against the Orioles is exactly how you turn things around. They have the better bats and pitching by a large margin.  I have to roll with the better team in this matchup.  

PICK: Yankees -1.5 (-120)

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