White Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 25 (8/25): MLB

Credit: photo by Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

Odds

Key stats

Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Chicago White Sox in the final game of the three game series Wednesday evening.  The White Sox took last night's game 5-2 after losing the first game 2-1.  The White Sox have dropped 3 of 4 and 4 of 6, while the Blue Jays are 2-2 in their last 4 after losing the previous 3 (2-5 in their last 7).

The White Sox have been putting some runs on the board, but poor pitching has been the downfall in the 3 losses in their last 4.  They've scored 4.2 runs per game in their last 9 games.

The Blue Jays have struggled to score runs, averaging 3.5 runs in their last 11 games.

Pitching matchup

White Sox

Lucas Giolito (9-9, 3.77 ERA) pitches for the White Sox.  He's been reliable for the Sox the last 3 seasons, with an ERA of 3.40-3.80 in the seasons.  After a rough start to August (6 earned runs in 4.0 innings vs the Royals), he's bounced back.  In his last 3 starts he's gone a combined 19.0 innings, giving up 5 earned runs on 11 hits, 3 walks and 24 strikeouts.  Blue Jays batters have gone 9 for 32 against Giolito (.281 AVG), with no home runs, 2 walks and 9 strikeouts.

Blue Jays

Robbie Ray (9-5, 2.79 ERA) is having a great season, with 24 starts and a sub-3 ERA.  This comes after a very mediocre 2020.  He's been great in his last 5 starts, not giving up more than 2 runs in any game and going a combined 33.0 innings, with 6 earned runs on 23 hits, 9 walks and 32 strikeouts.  He pitched in Chicago vs the White Sox in June, going 6.1 innings, giving up 1 run on 5 hits, no walks and had an impressive 13 strikeouts.  White Sox batters have gone 8 for 26 (.308 AVG) against Robbie Ray, with 1 walk and 2 home runs. 

Prediction

These two pitchers have turned it on recently and are averaging a strikeout per inning recently.  Both offenses have failed to score runs, the first game had 3 runs and the second 7 runs.  With these two pitchers starting, we think the over under at 8.5 is too high.

PICK: Under 8.5 (-110)

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