Ben Rothwell vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima Odds, Preview and Prediction, November 13 (11/13): UFC

Ben Rothwell vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima Odds, Preview and Prediction, November 13 (11/13): UFC

  • KV13
  • Kv13
  • Nov 11, 2021, 2:22:01 PM
Credit: photo by Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports
 
Odds
Time (Main Card) 4:00 p.m. EST
Ben Rothwell money line -150
Marcos Rogerio de Lima money line +125

 

Key stats
  Ben Rothwell Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Height 6'4 6'1
Weight 265 265
Reach 80' 75'
Record 39-13 18-7-1
Streak W1 W1
Last 5 3-2 3-2

 

Preview

 

In the co-main event of the evening, we have what should be a slugfest in the Heavyweight division, as Ben Rothwell takes on Marcos Rogerio ‘Pezao’ de Lima. In December of 2019, a switch flipped in Rothwell. Having lost the prior three fights, Rothwell needed to get on track. And that he did, as Rothwell won three of his last four fights, two of which have come via stoppage. Meanwhile, de Lima has traded wins and losses for the last eleven fights. Having not won two consecutive fights in seven years, de Lima once again has a chance to break that trend.

 

Prediction

 

The chances of this fight going the distance are slim. Of Ben Rothwell’s thirty-nine victories, thirty-five have come via stoppage. With legitimate power and sneaky submissions, Rothwell isn’t one to let the judges decide his fate. The same could be said about Marcos Rogerio de Lima. Of the Brazilian’s eighteen wins, fifteen have come via stoppage. With power in his hands and maybe five minutes of cardio, de Lima looks to end fights early more often than not. In fact, thirteen of the fifteen stoppage victories have come in round one. Not to one up de Lima, but Rothwell has won twenty-eight of his thirty-five stoppages in the opening round. If I were to make a bet, given all the data, there is a good chance this one ends early.

As for a prediction, I have Ben Rothwell winning. While this fight can end in a heartbeat, there are too many factors that favor Rothwell. Not only does he have better cardio, but he boasts better durability, takedown defense and submissions. Another reason I believe Rothwell gets it done is because of his pressure. Often pushing forward, Rothwell is somewhat like the terminator. Despite resistance, Rothwell will break opponents with constant activity and pace. Given de Lima has about five minutes of cardio, I don’t see the Brazilian lasting that long under Rothwell’s pressure. So with that said, I predict that Rothwell wins via TKO.

 

PICK: Ben Rothwell (-150)

 

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