Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 25 (9/25): MLB

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 25 (9/25): MLB

Credit: photo by Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 4:10 p.m. EST
Yankees money line -106
Yankees run line +1.5 (-185)
Red Sox money line -114
Red Sox run line -1.5 (+160)
Over / under 10.5 (-105)

 

Key stats
  Yankees Red Sox
Record 87-67 88-66
Road / home record 42-34 49-30
Last 10 record 7-3 7-3
Streak 4W 1L
Over / under record 67-84-3 73-78-3
Runs / game 4.37 5.19
Runs allowed / game 4.14 4.64

 

Preview

Tonight we have the Yankees taking on the Red Sox in Fenway. The Yankees enter this one currently sitting in the second wildcard spot 2 games ahead of the Mariners and Blue Jays.  They have been on a roll of late and took lastnights game in easy fashion against this Red Sox team.  The Red Sox enter this game with the top spot in the AL wilcard as they currently sit 1 game ahead of the Yankees.  They too have been on a roll of late as they try to hold onto their postseason spot.  This is a very big series and these are huge games for both teams.  Look for a the atmosphere to be playoff-like tonight in this rivalry matchup.

Pitching matchup

Yankees

Nestor Cortes (2-2, 2.79 ERA) will take the mound for the Yankees when they take on the Red Sox. Cortes enters this game with a 1.08 WHIP and 4.24 XFIP.  This season he carries a nice 28.6% strikeout rate along with a 6.9% walk rate.  Cortes has been good for the Yanks this season when called upon. He keeps hitters off balance and due to this he has been able to keep the hard contact down and induce poor and soft contact to opposing hitters. He will have a tough task tonight against a Red Sox team trying to hold on to their postseaon spot.

Red Sox

Nick Pivetta (9-7, 4.63 ERA) will toe the rubber for the Red Sox when they take on the Yankees. Pivetta enters this game with a 1.34 WHIP and 4.76 XFIP. This season he carries a nice 25.7% strikeout rate along with a high 10.1% walk rate. Pivetta has ben very mediocre for the Red Sox this year. He allows hard contact and power to both sides of the plate. He does have some strikeout upside in this matchup though, and if he can keep the walks down and runners off base he could find success against a Yankees team that is prone to striking out. He didn't fair well last time out against the Yankees as he gave up 4 runs in only 1.2 innings of work.  He will look to turn things around this time around against a Yankees team coming for their top spot in the AL wildcard.

Prediction

I'll be rolling with the Bronx Bombers in this one tonight. Cortes has been a bit better than Pivetta this seaon and the Yankees have the better bats up and down the lineup. I fully expect this to be a close game tonight but expect the Yankees to be victorious. 

PICK: Yankees ML (-106)

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