Reds vs Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 15: MLB

Reds vs Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 15: MLB

Odds
Time 1:05 p.m. EST
Reds money line +125
Reds run line +1.5 (-140)
Phillies money line -135
Phillies run line -1.5 (+135)
Over / under 10.5 (+100)

 

Key stats
  Reds Phillies
Record 63-55 61-56
Road / home record 32-28 36-24
Last 10 record 7-3 7-3
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 63-48-6 57-56-3
Runs / game 5.06 4.51
Runs allowed / game 4.83 4.68

 

Preview

The Phillies host the Reds in the last a three game series Sunday afternoon.  These two teams split the first and second games, both with 6-1 run lines.

The Reds were cruising at the plate until yesterday, scoring 24 runs in 3 games.  They only mustered 3 hits yesterday, with 1 run.  The Phillies had them on a no hitter going into the 8th.

The Phillies have not had much offensive firepower lately.  Before yesterday's 6 run effort, they hadn't scored more than 4 in 5 games.

Pitching matchup

Reds

Sonny Gray (4-6, 4.40 ERA) takes the mound for the Reds.  Coming off a fantastic 2019 (2.87 ERA) and a good 2020 (3.70 ERA), he hasn't been quite as sharp this season.  In his last two games, he's gone a combined 10.0 innings, giving up 6 ER from 9 hits and 6 walks.  He's averaging 1.29 K per inning, however.  Phillies batters have gone 26 for 100 (.260 AVG), with only 7 walks and 2 HR.  They've struck out 31 times.

Phillies

Aaron Nola (7-6, 4.35 ERA) pitches for the Phillies.  He faced the Reds in early June, going 5.0 innings, giving up 3 ER from 8 hits and 2 walks.  After a rough outing at Washington (5 ER across 5.0 innings), he pitched well, albeit only 51 pitches, against the Dodgers, going 4.0 innings with only 1 hit and no ER.  He had 7 Ks in those 4.0 innings.  Reds batters are 16 for 77 (.208 AVG) against Nola, with 6 walks and 4 homers.

Prediction

The Reds were cruising at the plate before yesterday's game, and the Phillies have struggled to put runs on the board.  Gray has been solid against the Phillies, and we see the Reds doing enough to take the second game of the series.

PICK: Reds money line (+125)

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