Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 28 (11/28): NHL

Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 28 (11/28): NHL

Odds

Time 7:00 p.m. EST
Maple Leafs money line -145
Maple Leafs spread -1.5 (+160)
Red Wings  money line -125
Red Wings spread +1.5 (-185)
Over / under 6

 

2022-2023 season stats

  Toronto Maple Leafs Detroit Red Wings
Record 13-5-5 11-5-4
Road / home record 6-3-2 7-2-2
Streak W3 W4
Goals per game 3.00 3.25
Goals allowed per game 2.57 3.00
Shots per game 30.5 29.0
Shots allowed per game 28.5 31.2
PP % 24.6% 23.10%
PK % 28.22% 10.80%
Over / under record 8-15 10-10
 

Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs continue on the road and will visit the Little Caesars Arena on Monday night. These teams faced each other 4 times last season and the Maple Leafs won the 4 games.

 

Toronto Maple Leafs

The Maple Leafs have won 3 games in a row and are 6-3-2 on the road this season ranking 2nd in the Atlantic division. Toronto is 3-1-0 in Atlantic Division games and 9-5-3 overall. With 50 goals scored and 46 goals allowed, the Maple Leafs have a +four scoring differential.

Mitchell Marner has six goals and 21 assists for the Maple Leafs. William Nylander has scored seven goals with four assists over the past 10 games.

In their last 10 games Toronto are 6-1-3, averaging 3.2 goals, 5.9 assists, three penalties and 6.3 penalty minutes while giving up 2.4 goals per game.

Detroit Red Wings

The Red Wings have won 4 games in a row and are 7-2-2 at home ranking 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They have a 1-2-1 record versus the Atlantic Division. The Red Wings are 7-2-2 when they have less penalties than their opponent.

Dominik Kubalik has nine goals and 12 assists for the Red Wings. David Perron has one goal and eight assists over the past 10 games.

In their last 10 games the Red Wings are 6-1-3, averaging 3.2 goals, 5.9 assists, three penalties and 6.3 penalty minutes while giving up 2.4 goals per game.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Toronto are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

Toronto are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games against Detroit.

Toronto are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road.

Toronto are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games.

Detroit are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 12 games against Toronto.

 

Prediction

The Maple Leafs have been playing great lately and have scored 4 goals per game in their last 2 matches. Toronto is 5-0 in their last 5 games on the road and have dominated the Red Wings beating them in 7 straight meetings. The Red Wings are on a hot streak as they have won 4 games in a row scoring an average of goals per game on that strecht. With both offenses on fire I think the best play is the over.

PICK: Over 6 (-110) 

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