New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Pick, Prediction, Odds and Preview, August 21: MLB

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Pick, Prediction, Odds and Preview, August 21: MLB

Odds
Time 4:10 p.m. EST
Mets money line +240
Mets run line +1.5 (+115)
Dodgers money line -294
Dodgers run line -1.5 (-139)
Over / under 9.0 (+100)

 

Key stats
  Mets Dodgers
Record 60-62 77-46
Road / home record 24-39 41-20
Last 10 record 3-7 9-1
Streak L2 W8
Over / under record 53-64-5 56-60-7
Runs / game 3.76 5.21
Runs allowed / game 3.99 3.52

 

Preview

The Dodgers host the Mets for game 3 of the 4 game series Saturday afternoon.  They have now won 8 straight, but with only 3 of those 8 by more than 1 run.  The Mets have now dropped 7 of 8.  The Dodgers won yesterday 3-2, after winnings 4-1 in the opener.  The Dodgers swept the 3 game series against the Mets last weekend.

The Mets have averaged 3.25 runs in their last 8, while allowed 5.1 runs per game.

The Dodgers have averaged 5.5 runs in their 8 game winning streak, allowing an average of only 2.1 runs per game.  The games have mostly been close, however.

Pitching matchup

Mets

Rich Hill (0-0, 4.98 ERA), the veteran, takes the ball for the Mets.  After coming to the Mets from the Rays in July, where he had a 3.87 ERA, he's racked up a 4.98 ERA.  In August, he's gone a combined 11.2 innings, giving up 5 earned runs on 13 hits and 4 walks.  Dodgers batters are just 7 for 37 against Hill (.189 AVG), with 4 home runs, 1 walk and 7 strike outs.

Dodgers

Max Scherzer (10-4, 2.69 ERA), the always reliable veteran, comes off a 3.74 ERA 2020 and is pitching lights out for the Dodgers after coming over from the Nationals earlier this August.  He's had three appearances for the Blue, going a combined 16.1 innings, giving up 4 earned runs on 12 hits and 3 walks, with 16 Ks in those games.  Mets batters have seen Scherzer a lot, going 43 for 176 (.244 AVG), with 8 home runs and 16 walks.  They've struck out in 72 of those 176 plate appearances.

Prediction

The Dodgers have only covered the run line in 3 of their last 8, so we'd avoid that.  Despite the Dodgers winning their last 8, they've scored 5.5 runs in those games and allowed only 2.1 runs per game.  The Mets have only averaged 3.25 runs in their last 8.  Scherzer is pitching well for the Dodgers, and the veteran Hill isn't that bad.  We like the under in this game.

PICK: Under 9.0 (+100)

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