Reds vs Cubs Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 8: MLB

Reds vs Cubs Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 8: MLB

  • Ajay
  • Ajay
  • Sep 8, 2021, 10:12:07 PM

Credit: photo by Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:40 p.m. EST
Reds money line -120
Reds run line -1.5 (+125)
Cubs money line +110
Cubs run line +1.5 (-145)
Over / under 9 (-110)

 

Key stats
  Reds Cubs
Record 74-66 64-76
Road / home record 36-33 38-33
Last 10 record 3-7 8-2
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 71-63-6 62-70-8
Runs / game 4.94 4.30
Runs allowed / game 4.70 5.00

 

Preview

The Reds will play their final game of a three-game tilt at Wrigley Field tonight in this NL Central divisional matchup.  The series is currently split with the teams exchanging 4-3 wins on Monday and Tuesday nights.  Cincinnati is still in the hunt for the playoffs via a wild card spot and didn't do themselves any favors by going down to Detroit 2-1 in the last series.  The Cubs sit 4th in the division - two spots off of the Reds - and saw the seven-game winning streak ended last night.  Their impressive September form is a welcomed change for the organization who suffered a streak of 12 consecutive losses in August and only won seven games in that month. 

Pitching matchup

Reds

Vladimir Gutierrez (9-6, 4.17 ERA) Vladimir Gutierrez will take his 9-6 record to the mound to get things started for Cincinnati.  Gutierrez has a 2021 ERA of 4.29 across 19 appearances and a WHIP of 1.33.  He's in his first year in the majors and will pitch his 100th inning tonight having already given up 17 home runs and 46 ERs off 96 hits.  Gutierrez also struck out 76 batters and walked 36.

Cubs

Alec Mills (6-6, 4.25 ERA) Fifth-year pitcher Alec Mills will start for the Cubs.  Mills' 4.25 2021 season ERA is far from his career-best 2.75 ERA back in his second season with the Cubs in 2019.  In three appearances against the Reds this season, he pitched 12.2 innings going for eight ERs off 14 hits with 11 strikeouts and a single walk.  

Prediction

Both teams will be a bit more expansive with their batting tonight after hard-fought battles in the last two games. The over / under at 9 is achievable.  

PICK: Over 9 (-110)

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