Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 27 (5/27): NBA

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 27 (5/27): NBA

Credit: photo by Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 8:30 p.m. EST
Heat money line +300
Heat spread +8.5 (-110)
Celtics money line -395
Celtics spread -8.5 (-110)
Over / under 208
 

2021-2022 season stats

  Miami Heat Boston Celtics
Record 63-35 62-36
Road / home record 27-21 33-16
Streak L1 W1
Points per game 109.77 111.39
Points allowed per game 104.64 104.31
Rebounds per game 43.39 45.45
Rebounds allowed per game 41.17 43.67
Over / under record 53-44-1 48-49-1
 

Preview

The Miami Heat and the Boston Celtics will play the Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals at the TD Garden on Friday night. The Celtics dominated in Game 5 as they hold Miami to only 80 pts. Boston is now one win away from the NBA Finals.

Miami Heat 

The Heat have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are 27-21 on the road, they have a 63-35 record overall ranking first in the Southeast. The Heat have gone 45-23 against Eastern Conference opponents. Miami leads the league in 3-point percentage, shooting 37.9% as a team from downtown this season. Victor Oladipo paces the team shooting 41.7% from 3-point range.

Duncan Robinson is shooting 37.2% from beyond the arc with 2.9 made 3-pointers per game for the Heat, while averaging 10.9 points. Butler is averaging 27 points, 7.4 rebounds, 5.6 assists and 2.2 steals over the past 10 games for Miami.

In the playoffs the Heat are 10-6, averaging 104.3 points, 41.5 rebounds, 21.8 assists, 8.1 steals and 3 blocks per game while shooting 46.7% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 100.3 points per game.

INJURIES: Herro and Lowry are questionable.

Boston Celtics

The Celtics have won 3 of their last 5 games and are 33-16 at home with a 62-36 record ranking second in the Atlantic Division. The Celtics are 43-24 in Eastern Conference games. Boston is fifth in the Eastern Conference scoring 111.39 points while shooting 45.5% from the field.

Tatum is scoring 26.9 points per game with 8.0 rebounds and 4.4 assists for the Celtics. Jaylen Brown is averaging 22.1 points and 6.2 rebounds while shooting 48.8% over the last 10 games for Boston.

In the playoffs, the Celtics are 11-5, averaging 107.8 points, 41.3 rebounds, 25.2 assists, 7.1 steals and 5.4 blocks per game while shooting 45.2% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 100.7 points.

INJURIES: Smart and Williams are questionable.

BETTING TRENDS

Miami are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

Miami are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games on the road.

Boston are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games.

Prediction

The Heat struggled offensively without the 6th man of the year Tyler Herro. With Herro out, the Heat managed just 82 and 80 points, respectively, in Games 4 and 5 but with their backs against the wall, the Heat are hoping to get him back Friday. Added to that Jimmy Butler has been struggling as well and it maybe has to do with his knee injury. With that being sad I expect the Celtics to dominate at home and end this series in Game 6.

PICK: Celtics -8.5 (-110)

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