Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 23 (5/23): NBA

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 23 (5/23): NBA

Credit: photo by David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 8:30 p.m. EST
Heat money line +220
Heat spread +6.5 (-110)
Celtics money line -270
Celtics spread -6.5 (-110)
Over / under 208
 

2021-2022 season stats

  Miami Heat Boston Celtics
Record 63-33 60-36
Road / home record 27-20 32-16
Streak W1 L1
Points per game 109.77 111.39
Points allowed per game 104.64 104.31
Rebounds per game 43.39 45.45
Rebounds allowed per game 41.17 43.67
Over / under record 53-42-1 48-47-1
 

Preview

The Miami Heat and the Boston Celtics will play the Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals at the TD Garden on Monday night. The Heat stole the win on the road in Game 3. Adebayo scored 31 points with 10 rebounds, filling a void left by injured All-Star Jimmy Butler and leading Miami to a 109-103 victory Saturday night.

Miami Heat 

The Heat have won 4 games of their last 5 games and are 27-20 on the road, they have a 63-33 record overall ranking first in the Southeast. The Heat have gone 45-21 against Eastern Conference opponents. Miami leads the league in 3-point percentage, shooting 37.9% as a team from downtown this season. Victor Oladipo paces the team shooting 41.7% from 3-point range.

Duncan Robinson is shooting 37.2% from beyond the arc with 2.9 made 3-pointers per game for the Heat, while averaging 10.9 points. Butler is averaging 27 points, 7.4 rebounds, 5.6 assists and 2.2 steals over the past 10 games for Miami.

In the playoffs the Heat are 10-4, averaging 107.6 points, 41.5 rebounds, 21.8 assists, 8.1 steals and 3 blocks per game while shooting 46.7% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 100.6 points per game.

Boston Celtics

The Celtics have won 3 of their last 5 games and are 32-16 at home with a 60-36 record ranking second in the Atlantic Division. The Celtics are 42-24 in Eastern Conference games. Boston is fifth in the Eastern Conference scoring 111.39 points while shooting 45.5% from the field.

Tatum is scoring 26.9 points per game with 8.0 rebounds and 4.4 assists for the Celtics. Jaylen Brown is averaging 22.1 points and 6.2 rebounds while shooting 48.8% over the last 10 games for Boston.

In the playoffs, the Celtics are 9-5, averaging 109.3 points, 41.3 rebounds, 25.2 assists, 7.1 steals and 5.4 blocks per game while shooting 45.2% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 103.5 points.

BETTING TRENDS

Miami are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

Miami are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games on the road.

Boston are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games.

Prediction

The Heat managed to beat the Celtics despite not having Jimmy Butler in the second half. Tyler Herro also didn’t play the final eight minutes of the fourth quarter because of a groin injury. Both players are questionable for Game 4 but it will be a surprise if they don't play. It's hard to believe that the Celtics will lose 2 in a row at home but I can't let go 7 points with Miami, obviously it's important to look at the injury report before pulling the trigger. 

PICK: Heat +6.5 (-110)

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