Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 26 (8/26): MLB

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 26 (8/26): MLB

Credit: photo by John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:05 p.m. EST
Diamondbacks money line +135
Diamondbacks run line +1.5 (-154)
Phillies money line -147
Phillies run line -1.5 (+131)
Over / under 8.5 (-120)

 

Key stats
  Diamondbacks Phillies
Record 43-85 63-63
Road / home record 16-49 36-27
Last 10 record 5-5 3-7
Streak W1 L2
Over / under record 66-57-5 60-62-4
Runs / game 4.19 4.43
Runs allowed / game 5.52 4.64

 

Preview

Today the Diamondbacks will head to Citizens Bank park to take on the Phillies. The Philies are still in the hunt to make the wildcard if they can pick up their play. The Diamondbacks sit dead last in the NL and have not been good away form home. The D-Backs swept this same Phillies team in Arizona in a 3 game series. The Phillies come into this game 2-3 in their last 5 games. They lost both at home to the Tampa Bay Rays and were able to win 2 out 3 games against the Padres. They come in against the Diamondbacks looking to make a wildcard push as they are 5 games back. The lowly Diamond backs come into this game 2-4 in their last 6 games. They went 1-2 against the Pirates and were able to win a game against the Rockies while losing 2 in that series. The Diamondbacks are 16-49 on the road this year.

Pitching matchup

Diamondbacks

Zac Gallen (1-7, 4.59 ERA) will be called upon to throw the rock for the Diamondbacks. Gallen has a nice 27.6% strikeout rate, 4.21 XFIP, and also has been walking batters at a high 10.1% clip this season. In his last 4 games he’s thrown 23.2 innings allowing 12 ER’s while striking out 27 batters. He has had some reverse splits this year giving up some hard contact to righties.

Phillies

Zach Eflin (4-7, 4.17 ERA) will be on the bump for the Phillies today. Eflin returns after last pitching in July before he was diagnosed with right knew tendinitis. He’s been decent this year with his 23.1% strikeout rate, and a nice 3.80 XFIP. I don’t expect him to go more than 5 innings in this one coming off injury. In his last 4 starts before getting injured he thew 21.2 innings allowing 8 ER’s and striking out 16 hitters.

Prediction

I fully expect the Diamondbacks to continue to struggle on the road in this one. I’ll look to target the team that is actually playing for a playoff spot. Gallen gives up walks and hard contact and that’s not a good recipe for success, add on the bad road record this year and it just doesn’t look good.

PICK: Phillies money line (-147)

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