Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 29 (5/29): NBA
- Lm Tipster
- May 28, 2022, 7:20:47 PM
Credit: photo by Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports
Odds
Time | 8:30 p.m. EST |
Celtics money line | -145 |
Celtics spread | -2.5 (-110) |
Heat money line | +125 |
Heat spread | +2.5 (-110) |
Over / under | 195.5 |
2021-2022 season stats
Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | |
Record | 62-37 | 64-35 |
Road / home record | 29-20 | 36-14 |
Streak | W1 | L1 |
Points per game | 111.39 | 109.68 |
Points allowed per game | 104.41 | 104.61 |
Rebounds per game | 45.50 | 43.44 |
Rebounds allowed per game | 43.59 | 41.20 |
Over / under record | 49-49-1 | 54-44-1 |
Preview
The Miami Heat and the Boston Celtics will play the Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals at the FTX Arena on Sunday night. The Heat took the win 111-103 in Game 6 and avoided elimination. Jimmy Butler had the best game of his career and scored 47 points to force this series to a game 7.
Boston Celtics
The Celtics have won 3 of their last 5 games and are 29-20 on the road with a 62-37 record ranking second in the Atlantic Division. The Celtics are 44-25 in Eastern Conference games. Boston is fifth in the Eastern Conference scoring 111.39 points while shooting 45.5% from the field.
Tatum is scoring 26.9 points per game with 8.0 rebounds and 4.4 assists for the Celtics. Jaylen Brown is averaging 22.1 points and 6.2 rebounds while shooting 48.8% over the last 10 games for Boston.
In the playoffs, the Celtics are 11-6, averaging 107.5 points, 41.3 rebounds, 25.2 assists, 7.1 steals and 5.4 blocks per game while shooting 45.2% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 101.3 points.
INJURIES: Houser is questionable.
Miami Heat
The Heat have won 4 of their last 6 games and are 36-13 at home, they have a 63-34 record overall ranking first in the Southeast. The Heat have gone 45-23 against Eastern Conference opponents. Miami leads the league in 3-point percentage, shooting 37.9% as a team from downtown this season. Victor Oladipo paces the team shooting 41.7% from 3-point range.
Duncan Robinson is shooting 37.2% from beyond the arc with 2.9 made 3-pointers per game for the Heat, while averaging 10.9 points. Butler is averaging 27 points, 7.4 rebounds, 5.6 assists and 2.2 steals over the past 10 games for Miami.
In the playoffs the Heat are 11-6, averaging 104.7 points, 41.5 rebounds, 21.8 assists, 8.1 steals and 3 blocks per game while shooting 46.7% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 100.4 points per game.
INJURIES: Herro is questionable.
BETTING TRENDS
Boston are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games on the road.
Boston are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Miami's last 16 games against Boston.
Miami are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games at home.
Prediction
This series has been about give and take but the Celtics are the ones who had won 2 straight games but with Jimmy Butler playing like he did in Game 6 it's hard to go against Miami at home. This is really a flip coin game but when you look at the total how can you not take the over. We don't get under 200 totals on these days, of course both teams play great defense but in the last 10 head to head games they've averaged 207.8 points. Give me the over.
PICK: Over 195.5 (-110)
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