Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 23 (9/23): MLB

Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 23 (9/23): MLB

  • Ajay
  • Ajay
  • Sep 23, 2021, 10:52:00 PM

Credit: photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:40 p.m. EST
Blue Jays money line -128
Blue Jays run line -1.5 (+120)
Twins money line +126
Twins run line +1.0 (-102)
Over / under 9.5 (-104)

 

Key stats
  Blue Jays Twins
Record 85-67 67-85
Road / home record 42-36 34-40
Last 10 record 6-4 4-6
Streak L1 W2
Over / under record 65-79-8 85-60-7
Runs / game 5.22 4.50
Runs allowed / game 4.10 5.21

 

Preview

The Blue Jays are at Target Field in Minneapolis to take on the Twins in game 1 of this four-game series.  The Jays beat the Twins 2-1 in their home series last week and averaged 467 runs per game.  After that, they went on the lose 2-1 to the Rays.  Even though they sit 4th in the AL East, Toronto is half a game behind the Yankees in the race for a Wild Card spot and only 2.5 behind the Red Sox who lead the Wild Card race in the AL at the moment.  The Twins have already been eliminated from postseason contention as they sit bottom of the AL Central.  they defeat the Cubs 2-0 in their last series where they averaged 7 runs per game. 

Pitching matchup

Blue Jays

Steven Matz (13-7, 3.84 ERA) Steven Matz will make his 28th start on the mound for the Blue Jays.  The left-handed pitcher is in his 7th year in the majors and has a career 4.25 ERA with a 3.84 in 2021; the best since his first two years in the league.  He pitched 140.2 innings this season and surrendered 145 hits for 60 ERs and has 133 strikeouts compared to 40 walks. 

Twins

Michael Pineda (7-8, 3.74 ERA) Michael Pineda is slated to make his 20th start of the year tonight.  Pineda, now in his 3rd season in Minnesota, has a 3.89 ERA while his career ERA is 3.99.  He also has a WHIP of 1.19 this year.  Pineda has pitched 98.2 innings and given up as many - 98 - hits resulting in 41 ERs and has 20 walks and 81 strikeouts.

Prediction

Toronto is the 3rd best scoring team in the league this season even though their bats were kept modest in the last series.  At this stage of the season and with everything at stake for them, they'll have too much for the Twins to keep up.  This looks like another loss for the Twins.

PICK: Blue Jays run line -1.5 (+120)

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