Rockies vs Cubs Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 23: MLB

Rockies vs Cubs Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 23: MLB

Odds
Time 8:05 p.m. EST
Rockies money line +112
Rockies run line +1.5 (-185)
Cubs money line -122
Red Sox run line -1.5 (+164)
Over / under 9.0 (-110)

 

Key stats
  Rockies Cubs
Record 57-67 54-72
Road / home record 14-45 31-31
Last 10 record 6-4 2-8
Streak L1 L3
Over / under record 54-67-2 54-65-7
Runs / game 4.54 4.10
Runs allowed / game 4.83 4.91

 

Preview

The Colorado Rockies are at Wrigley Field for the first of their three-game series against the Chicago Cubs. The Rockies lost the final game of their previous series (ending their five-game win streak) but still took the series. The Cubs were swept in their last series and have only won three games since the beginning of August.

The Rockies bats were kept modest in yesterday’s 8-4 loss but were averaging 6.8 in their previous five games.

The Cubs batting continues to struggle now averaging 2.8 runs in their last five games.

Pitching matchup

Rockies

Antonio Senzaleta (2-9, 4.58 ERA) will take the mound for the Rockies. He had a 4.68 ERA in 2017, 4.38 ERA in 2018, 6.71 ERA in 2019, his career-best 3.44 ERA in 2020 and currently has a 4.58 ERA in 2021. He also has a WHIP of 1.40 in 2021. In August, he gave up nine runs off 22 hits with three walks and 11 strikeouts. In his game against the Cubs this season he conceded four runs off seven hits with only one walk and six strikeouts. Senzaleta hasn’t given up a home run for that period.

Cubs

Kyle Hendricks (14-5, 4.04 ERA) will start for the Cubs. The now eighth-year pitcher is coming off of a 2.88 ERA in 2020, his second-best figures since his league-leading 2.13 ERA in 2016 and boasts a career ERA of 3.23. He also currently leads all pitchers in the league in wins for 2021. His WHIP is 1.31. In his last two games, Hendricks surrendered ten runs off 14 hits with three being home runs with 4 walks and 6 strikeouts. He has not played against the Rockies this season but is averaging a 2.89 ERA in 4 games against the other NL West opponents.

Prediction

Even with Hendricks' decent numbers, he's struggled in his last two outings and the Rockies batting has had solid showings.  However, the Cubs have really struggled in the last month to put runs on the board and Senzatela has been reliable in August so the over / under at 9 seems high for this matchup.

PICK: Under 9.0 (-110)

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