Marlins vs Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 29 (9/29): MLB

Marlins vs Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 29 (9/29): MLB

  • Ajay
  • Ajay
  • Sep 29, 2021, 8:31:04 PM

Credit: photo by Andy Marlin-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Marlins money line +158
Marlins run line +1.0 (+104)
Mets money line -169
Mets run line -1.5 (+130)
Over / under 7.5 (+105)

 

Key stats
  Marlins Mets
Record 64-93 75-82
Road / home record 24-55 46-33
Last 10 record 2-8 3-7
Streak L7 W2
Over / under record 71-77-9 67-80-7
Runs / game 3.88 3.90
Runs allowed / game 4.31 4.13

 

Preview

The Marlins are back at Citi Field for game three of their four-game series against their division rivals the Mets.  The Marlins lost the third game last night by a 2-1 scoreline which keeps them at the foot of the NL East.  They've now lost their last 7 games in a row and are trying to avoid a back-to-back sweep if they can win tonight.  The Mets were coming off of a sweep themselves after losing 3-0 to the Brewers in their last series and were on a five-game slide but winning the opening two games of this head-to-head against Miami has turned the fortunes around and put them on a two-game winning streak.  The Mets are trying to wrap up a series win before playing the Braves in their last 3 games of 2021. 

Pitching matchup

Marlins

Elieser Hernandez (1-3, 4.24 ERA) Elieser Hernandaz will start his 11th game of the season for the Marlins.  Hernandez is a career 4.70 ERA pitcher and is 4.24 with a 1.29 WHIP in 2021.  Through 46.2 innings he has surrendered 48 hits for 22 ERs.  Hernandez has already played the Mets this season in one game in which he pitched for 5 innings giving up a single hit for 1 ER and struck out 4 batters while walking only 1. 

Mets

Taijuan Walker (7-11, 4.57 ERA) Taijuan Walker will start the 29th of his 30th game this season.  In 9 years in the majors, Walker has a 3.99 ERA but is 4.57 in 2021.  He's pitched 151.2 innings surrendering 131 hits for 77 ERs.  Hernandez pitched against the Marlins this season in 3 games pitching for 16.1 innings and gave up 19 hits for 9 ERs claiming 14 strikeouts and with only 4 walks.

Prediction

Both clubs rank in the bottom 5 in runs scored this season and have been in some low-scoring games when they've matched up this season.  Even in their recent form, runs have been hard to come by.  The over / under at 7.5 actually seems too high for tonight.

PICK: Under 7.5 (+105)

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