Dodgers vs Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 15: MLB

Dodgers vs Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 15: MLB

Odds
Time 7:00 p.m. EST
Dodgers money line -175
Dodgers run line -1.5 (-1.05)
Mets money line +159
Mets run line +1.5 (-115)
Over / under 8.0 (-110)

 

Key stats
  Dodgers Mets
Record 71-46 59-57
Road / home record 35-26 36-22
Last 10 record 7-3 4-6
Streak W2 L2
Over / under record 55-55-6 51-59-5
Runs / game 5.20 3.81
Runs allowed / game 3.63 3.93

 

Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are at the New York Mets for Sunday night baseball for the finale of the three game series.  Both games have been close and gone to 10.  They took the opener 6-5 in 10 innings, and won last night 2-1 in 10 innings.  They've now won 6 of their last 7.  The Mets had come off a three game sweep of the Nationals before dropping the last two to the Dodgers in extra innings.

Dodgers batters are seeing the ball well, hitting 5 or more in 5 of the last 7, although they struggled at the plate last night with 2 runs on 4 hits.

Mets batters have been solid lately too, scoring 23 runs over the last 5, with 2 of those games shortened 7 inning games.  They too struggled last night with 1 run on 4 hits.

Pitching matchup

Dodgers

Max Scherzer (9-4, 2.67 ERA) takes the bump for the Dodgers for his third start in Blue.  The 37 year old continues to have one of his best seasons.  He's started strong for the Dodgers, going a combined 10.1 innings with 2 ER, 8 hits, 1 walk and 16 strikeouts.  He's really only had two bad games in 21 starts this season, and has only give up more than 2 ER in 4 of those 21 starts.  Mets hitters have seen Sherzer plenty of times, going 40 for 164 (.244 AVG) against him, with 8 HR and 14 BB.

Mets

Carlos Carrasco (0-0, 6.75 ERA) makes his fourth start for the Mets after coming off the injury list.  He pitched a lone inning this week vs the Nationals, giving up 4 hits, 1 BB and 4 ER.  In his previous two starts he was limited to around 60 pitches and went a combined 8.1 innings, with 8 hits, 1 walk and 3 ER.    Dodgers batters have only seen Carrasco 24 times, getting 4 hits and 1 walk.

Prediction

Carrasco had a great season last season, with a 2.91 ERA across 12 starts, but he's been slow to get back to full speed after coming off the injury list.  Expect the Dodgers to hit him early and bring in the bullpen after a few innings.  Dodgers should take the final game of the series easily and not have to take it to 10.  We had the Mets +1.5 last night (winner), but think the Dodgers can crack this one open.

PICK: Dodgers -1.5 (-105)

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last 30 days winnings $0
Yesterday winnings $0
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last 30 days winnings $930
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