Royals vs Indians Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 21 (9/21): MLB

Royals vs Indians Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 21 (9/21): MLB

Credit: photo by Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 6:10 p.m. EST
Royals money line +126
Royals run line +1.5 (-150)
Indians money line -150
Indians run line -1.5 (+130)
Over / under 9 (-120)

 

Key stats
  Royals Indians
Record 69-82 73-76
Road / home record 33-43 36-38
Last 10 record 5-5 4-6
Streak 2W 2L
Over / under record 64-76-11 78-66-5
Runs / game 4.27 4.42
Runs allowed / game 4.88 4.54

 

Preview

Tonight we have the Royals taking on the Indians in Cleveland.  This is the third game in this four game series, the Royals took the first two games with scores of 7-2 and 4-2.  The Royals have no shot at the postseason, they will look to finish the season on a high note.  The Indians enter this game not completely out of the playoff picture but pretty close as they sit 10.5 games back of a wildcard spot. They'll need to go on a serious run and have some luck on their side if they have any hope of making the postseason.

Pitching matchup

Royals

Daniel Lynch (4-5, 5.34 ERA) will be on the mound for the Royals when they take on the Indians.  Lynch enters this game with a 1.61 WHIP and 5.67 XFIP, both ugly numbers.  This season he carries a 17.9% strikeout rate along with a 9.3% walk rate.  Lynch was able to have a good month of August until regression hit, he's been bad in every other month other than August.  Lynch gives up too many walks and gets hit hard by right handed hitters, he has been able to limit left handed hitters.  This Indians team should be able to roll out a mainly right handed lineup, causing problems for Lynch. He will have his hands full tonight against an Indians lineup that boasts some quality hitters.

Indians

Cal Quantrill (6-3, 2.89 ERA) will toe the rubber for the Indians when they host the Royals.  Quantrill enters this game with a 1.18 WHIP and 4.80 XFIP. This season he carries a 19.6% strikeout rate along with a 8.2% walk rate.  Cal has been solid this year.  Other than the walks, he has been able to induce soft and poor contact and limit the hard hits.  His lack of strikeout upside hasn't hurt him much all year as he has been able to keep hitters off balance with his approach.  He should be able to produce another good outting against a weak Royals squad.

Prediction

Lynch has been abysmal in his outtings and even going against a weaker Indians team he should still struggle.  Quantrill has been solid since settling down after some early season rough outtings.  The Cleveland bats should get to Lynch and Quantrill should be able to handle this Royals offense.

PICK: Indians -1.5 (+130)

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