Pirates vs Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 23 (9/23): MLB

Pirates vs Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 23 (9/23): MLB

  • Ajay
  • Ajay
  • Sep 23, 2021, 9:27:05 PM

Credit: photo by Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:05 p.m. EST
Pirates money line +250
Pirates run line +1.5 (+119)
Phillies money line -256
Phillies run line -2.5 (+110)
Over / under 8.5 (+103)

 

Key stats
  Pirates Phillies
Record 57-94 78-74
Road / home record 23-53 44-33
Last 10 record 6-4 6-4
Streak W1 W2
Over / under record 71-71-9 74-74-4
Runs / game 3.71 4.57
Runs allowed / game 5.07 4.67

 

Preview

The Pirates are in Citizens Bank Park for this four-game Pennsylvania matchup against the Phillies.  Pittsburgh's got the night off after their Wednesday game against the Reds to end the series was postponed leaving the series locked a 1 win apiece.  They've already been eliminated from playoff contention and are the lowest-scoring team per average in the entire league only averaging 3.71 runs per game in 2021.  On the other side of them is a Phillies team who are still in a battle for the division crown but have lost some ground recently now sitting 3 games behind the Braves and are even further back in the Wild Card chase.  One thing fr certain is that the Phillies need to continue to stockpile wins to stand any chance.  They've won 6 of their last 8 going into tonight's game.

Pitching matchup

Pirates

Connor Overton (0-0, 0.00 ERA) Rookie pitcher Connor Overton will make only his second career start tonight.  Overton played 4 games for the Blue Jays this season before coming across to Pittsburgh where he made his first start.  He's pitched 11.2 innings in total and given up 6 hits for no ERs and claimed 9 strikeouts and had 3 walks.  He only gave up 2 hits in his 5 innings of the one game he started for the Pirates this season.  

Phillies

Aaron Nola (8-8, 4.48 ERA) Aaron Nola will get his 31st start of the season for Philly.  Now in his 7th season, Nola is a career 3.64 ERA pitcher and is 4.48 in 2021.  H's already thrown 168.2 innings surrendering 152 hits resulting in 84 ERs and has 211 strikeouts compared to only 36 walks.  Nola has already played Pittsburgh this season and pitched 6 innings giving up 3 hits for 2 ERs and had 5 strikeouts and a single walk.

Prediction

The Phillies look in good form despite some small hiccups recently.  A playoff spot isn't off the table for them and coming up against the league's worst scoring team will give them a boost added to the presence of Nola in the lineup who is joint 7th in the league in strikeouts in 2021.  None of this adds up to a Pirates win tonight.  Take the Phillies money line.   

PICK: Phillies money line (-256)

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