Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 4 (11/4): MLB

Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 4 (11/4): MLB

Odds

Time 8:03 p.m. EST
Phillies money line +125
Phillies run line +1.5 (-175)
Astros money line -145
Astros run line -1.5 (+150)
Over / under 7

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies  Houston Astros
Record 98-80 116-58
Home / road record 53-36 56-31
Last 10 record 7-3 8-2
Streak L2 W2
Over / under record 89-82-7 63-99-12
Runs / game 4.61 4.36
Runs allowed / game 4.20 4.05

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet again to play the Game 6 of the World Series at the Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. The Astros beat the Phillies 3-2 in Game 5 to take the lead 3-2 on the series and are just one win away from the Championship.

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 98-80 record and have won 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.61 runs per game. They're batting for .253 AVG, 747 runs scored in 1392 hits and 205 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the NY Mets. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 46 home runs and 94 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .281 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.20 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.82 ERA, 163 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher: Zack Wheeler (13-9, 2.80 ERA)

Wheeler will be on the mound in the 6th game of the series for the Phillies. He was pounded in his last start by the Astros allowing 4 runs in 5 innings pitched and the Phillies lost 5-2.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 116-58 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. They're averaging 4.55 runs and batting for .246 AVG, 737 runs scored in 1341 hits and 214 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Seattle Mariners. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .304 avg with 37 home runs and 97 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.23 runs per game and ranking #2 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.75 ERA, 185 strikeouts and 18 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher:  Framber Valdez (19-6, 2.66 ERA)

Valdez will be on the mound in the 6th game of the series for the Astros. Valdez pitched 6.1 innings and earned the win during Saturday's 5-2 win over the Phillies in Game 2 of the World Series, allowing one run on four hits and three walks while striking out nine.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Philadelphia are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games.

Philadelphia are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against Houston.

Philadelphia are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games.

Houston are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games against Philadelphia.

Houston are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Phillies were dominated by Jutin Verlander and the Astros bullpen as they held them to only 2 runs in the game and they'll now face Framber Valdez who dominated them the last time.  Zach Wheeler will take the mound for this game who was pounded in Game 2 by the Astros. It will be hard for the Phillies to recover from the last 2 losses and going back to Houston won't make it easier. I'm going with the Astros to win this game.

PICK: Astros ML (-145)

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