Giants vs Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 25 (8/25): MLB

Giants vs Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 25 (8/25): MLB

Credit: photo by Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Giants money line -105
Giants run line +1.5 (-208)
Mets money line -115
Mets run line -1.5 (+175)
Over / under 8.5 (-120)

 

Key stats
  Giants Mets
Record 81-44 61-64
Road / home record 39-25 36-24
Last 10 record 7-3 2-8
Streak W3 L1
Over / under record 57-64-4 54-66-5
Runs / game 4.89 3.75
Runs allowed / game 3.69 4.01

 

Preview

The major league-leading San Francisco Giants are in New York at the Mets for the second game of a three game series.  The Giants took the first game 8-0 after jumping up early and shutting out the Mets.  The Giants have now won 3 straight, while the Mets have dropped 4 of 5 and 9 of their last 11.

The Giants bats are doing well, scoring 16 runs in their last 3 games, and averagine 4.25 runs per game in their last 8 games.

The Mets are struggling to score, although they did win 7-2 against the Dodgers over the weekend.  They've averaged just 2.6 runs per game in their last 5 games, and 3.3 runs per game over their last 11.

Pitching matchup

Giants

Johnny Cueto (7-6, 3.89 ERA), the veteran, takes the mount for the Giants.  He's coming off two relatively poor seasons, with a 5.06 ERA 2019 and 5.40 ERA 2020, but has pitched better this season.  He's only managed to last until the 5th inning in his last 5 starts, going a combined 26.0 innings, giving up 9 earned runs on 20 hits, with 9 walks and 27 strikeouts.  Mets batters have gone 13 for 41 (.317 AVG) against Cueto, with only 1 home run, 6 walks and 12 strikeouts.

Mets

Taijuan Walker (7-8, 3.86 ERA) makes his 24th start for the Mets this season.  He's had 1 good start in August, with 3 starts giving up 3-4 earned runs.  In August, he's gone a combined 24.1 innings, giving up 12 earned runs on 20 hits, with 7 walks and 17 strikeouts.  He has a particularly bad second half of July, with 9.1 innings and 17 earned runs.  Giants batters have gone 13 for 44 (.295 AVG) against Taijuan Walker, with only 1 home run, 5 walks and 12 strikeouts, remarkably similar to how the Mets have hit Cueto.

Prediction

These two pitchers have done remarkably similar against each opposing team, however Cueto has done better recently, and the Giants have the second best bullpen in the majors, with a 3.11 ERA (Cueto likely to only last 5-6 innings).  Giants bats are hot, while the Mets are struggling to score.  We're surprised to see the Giants as slight dogs - take them to get the second game after last night's 8-0 win.

PICK: Giants money line (-105)

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