Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction, Pick and Preview, March 11 (3/11): NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction, Pick and Preview, March 11 (3/11): NBA

Credit: photo by David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 8:00 p.m. EST
Cavaliers money line +190
Cavaliers spread -5.5 (-110)
Heat money line -238
Heat spread -5.5 (-110)
Over / under 209.5

 

2021-2022 season stats
  Cleveland Cavaliers Miami Heat
Record 38-27 44-23
Road / home record 18-16 23-8
Streak W2 L1
Points per game 106.94 109.40
Points allowed per game 103.52 104.72
Rebounds per game 44.74 44.31
Rebounds allowed per game 42.98 41.75
Over / under record 25-38-2 39-28

 

Preview

The Cleveland Cavaliers travel to Miami to take on the Heat on Friday night. This is the third time these teams face off this season, the Cavaliers have won the last 2 games.

CLEVELAND CAVALIERS

The Cavaliers have won their last 2 games and are 18-16 on the road with a 38-27 record overall, ranking 3rd in the Central division. The Cavs are 23-16 in Eastern Conference play and are the leaders in the Conference allowing just 103.5 points per game while holding opponents to 44.6% shooting.

Garland is averaging 21 points and 8.2 assists for the Cavaliers. Jarrett Allen is averaging 15.9 points and 8.6 rebounds while shooting 73.8% over the past 10 games for Cleveland.

In their last 10 games the Cavaliers are 4-6, averaging 109.4 points, 41.1 rebounds, 24.2 assists, 6.9 steals and 4.6 blocks per game while shooting 48.2% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 112.3 points.

INJURIES: Allen and Levert are out.

MIAMI HEAT 

The Heat are 23-8 at home, they have a 44-22 record overall ranking first in the Southeast. They're coming from a loss against the Phoenix Suns last Wednesday. Duncan Robinson scored 22 points. Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro each scored 17 for the Heat, which played without Jimmy Butler.

Tyler Herro is averaging 20.7 points and 3.9 assists for the Heat. Bam Adebayo is averaging 19.2 points over the last 10 games for Miami.

In their last 10 games the Heat are 7-3, averaging 111.4 points, 42.8 rebounds, 25.3 assists, 6.8 steals and 4.2 blocks per game while shooting 47.2% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 106.8 points per game.

INJURIES: Morris is out. Butler and Martin are questionable.

BETTING TRENDS

Cleveland are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games.

Cleveland are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road.

Miami are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.

Miami are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games at home.

Prediction

The Cavs beat the Pacers in their last game but wasn't easy for them and they didn't cover the spread. I don't think they'll continue to be competitive against good teams like the Heat, the Cavs have actually struggled against them, they're 1-19 in their last 20 games when playing on the road against Miami. Even with Jimmy Butler questionable I like the Heat to win and cover.

PICK: Heat -5.5 (-110)

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