Yankees vs Blue  Jays Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 28 (9/28): MLB

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 28 (9/28): MLB

Credit: photo by Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:07 p.m. EST
Yankees money line +104
Yankees run line +1.5 (-170)
Blue Jays money line -124
Blue Jays run line -1.5 (+145)
Over / under 9 (-120)

 

Key stats
  Yankees Blue Jays
Record 89-67 87-69
Road / home record 44-34 43-32
Last 10 record 7-3 5-5
Streak 6W 2W
Over / under record 67-86-3 67-83-6
Runs / game 4.40 5.18
Runs allowed / game 4.12 4.08

 

Preview

Tonight we have the Yankees taking on the Blue Jays. This series has some serious postseason implications so look for the playoff atmosphere to be well alive. The Yankees enter this one coming off a big 3 game series sweep against the Red Sox. They enter this game with the first wildcard spot, 1 game ahead of the Red Sox who have the other wildcard spot and 2 games ahead of this Blue Jays team. The Blue Jays  enter this game 1 game behind the Red Sox for the second wild card spot and will need to bring their best if they want to make the postseason.  With Boston facing off in a series against the Orioles it could be now or never for both teams in this series to secure their spot in the postseason.

Pitching matchup

Yankees

Jameson Taillon (8-6, 4.41 ERA) will be on the mound for the Yankees when they take on the Blue Jays. Taillon enters this game with a 1.22 WHIP and 4.98 XFIP. This season he carries a 23.4% strikeout rate along with a 7.3% walk rate. Taillon has been up an down this season for the Yanks, in his last start he went 7 innings, allowing 3 hits (2 HR's), striking out 5, and allowing 3 earned runs against this same Blue Jays team. This will be his first game back since the beginning of the month. He made a rehab start on September 22nd and should be good to go for this one.  Taillon is a fly ball pitcher that gives up some contact and power to both sides of the plate.  He is able to rack up some strikeouts though so if he can keep this loaded Blue Jays lineup off balance he could find success.  

Blue Jays

Hyun Jin Ryu (13-9, 4.34 ERA) will toe the rubber for the Blue Jays when they take on the Yankees. Ryu enters this game with a 1.21 WHIP and 4.13 XFIP. This season he carries a 20.7% strikeout rate along with a low 4.9% walk rate. Ryu has been decent for the Blue Jays this year, although he is coming off 2 very poor starts.  He has been giving up power and contact to both sides of the plate. He faced this Yankees team earlier this month where he went 6 innings of shut out ball while striking out 6. He will have his hands full against a Yankees team that hits left handed pitching very well.

Prediction

I'll be rolling with the Yankees in this one. Both pitchers have similar numbers this year and they have both shown upside and downside.  It really comes down to the bullpens for me though and thats where the Yankees should get the upper hand in this one. 

PICK: Yankees ML (+104)

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