Mets vs Giants Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 17: MLB

Mets vs Giants Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 17: MLB

Odds
Time 9:45 p.m. EST
Mets money line +133
Mets run line +1.0 (-105)
Giants money line -159
Giants run line +1.0 (-112)
Over / under 8.0 (-112)

 

Key stats
  Mets Giants
Record 59-59 77-42
Road / home record 23-36 41-18
Last 10 record 3.7 8-2
Streak L4 W2
Over / under record 53-60-5 56-59-4
Runs / game 3.79 4.93
Runs allowed / game 4.00 3.71

 

Preview

The Mets host the Giants Tuesday night in the second game of a three game series.  The Giants took the opener 7-5 last night, with Kris Bryant homering twice.  The Mets have now dropped 4 straight, while the Giants have won 8 of 9.

The Mets are putting runs on the board, averaging 4.6 over their last 7, but not doing enough from the mound to get the job done.

The Giants are hitting well, averaging 6 runs a game over the last 9, and have won 5 of those 9 by 2 or more runs.

Pitching matchup

Mets

Marcus Stroman (8-11, 2.79 ERA) takes the mount for the Mets.  He's pitched well this season but has not had the run support to get the wins.  In his last two outings, combined, he's gone 10.1 innings, giving up 8 hits, 3 walks and 3 earned runs.  He struck out 13 in those 10.1 innings.  Giants batters have gone 18 for 62 against him (.290 AVG), with 3 home runs and 4 walks.

Giants

Logan Webb (6-3, 2.96 ERA) takes the mound for the Giants.  He has also pitched well this season, coming off a 5.47 ERA 2020 and a 5.22 ERA 2019.  He's been phenomenal in his last 10 starts, not giving up more than 2 runs in any of those game, and averaging 5-6 innings of work.  In his last two games he's gone a combined 12.0 innings, giving up 6 hits, 3 walks and 1 earned run, striking out 17 batters.  The Mets have only had 5 at bats vs Webb, getting 1 hit.

Prediction

These two pitchers have both been good this season and have pitched well in their recent games.  The Giants batters, however, are doing more at the plate than the Mets.  We see the Giants taking this one in a close game right around the 8 run mark.

PICK: Giants money line (-159)

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