Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Pick and Preview, March 5 (3/5): NBA

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Pick and Preview, March 5 (3/5): NBA

Credit: photo by Sergio Estrada-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 5:00 p.m. EST
Kings money line +325
Kings spread +10
Mavs money line -435
Mavs spread -10
Over / under 229.5

 

2021-2022 season stats
  Sacramento Kings Dallas Mavericks
Record 24-41 38-25
Road / home record 9-23 21-11
Streak W1 W3
Points per game 110.05 106.97
Points allowed per game 115.11 103.59
Rebounds per game 43.57 43.30
Rebounds allowed per game 45.60 43.95
Over / under record 33-31-1 22-39-2

 

Preview

The Sacramento Kings continue on the road and will visit the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. This is the 4th time these teams met on the season, the Mavericks have the lead 2-1.

SACRAMENTO KINGS

The Kings are only 9-23 on the road so far this season and have a 24-41 record overall ranking 5th in the Pacific. They're coming from a win against the Spurs.  Harrison Barnes had 27 points and the Sacramento Kings held off San Antonio 115-112 on Thursday night

De'Aaron Fox is scoring 22 points per game with 3.9 rebounds and 5.3 assists for the Kings. Barnes is averaging 20.1 points and 6.0 rebounds while shooting 57.3% for Sacramento.

In their last 10 games the Kings are 4-6, averaging 113.3 points, 42 rebounds, 24.9 assists, 6.3 steals and 4.2 blocks per game while shooting 47.6% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 118.7 points.

Injuries: Davis is out and Holmes is questionable.

DALLAS MAVERICKS

The Mavericks have won their last 3 games and are 21-11 at home. Dallas has a 38-25 record overall, and is second in the Southwest.

Doncic is scoring 27.8 points per game and averaging 9.2 rebounds for the Mavericks. Brunson is averaging 17.3 points and 3.6 rebounds over the last 10 games for Dallas.

Dallas are 8-2 in their last 10 games, averaging 110.7 points, 40.8 rebounds, 22 assists, 6.5 steals and 4.2 blocks per game while shooting 48.2% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 103.3 points.

INJURIES:  Trey Burke, Luka Doncic are questionable. Tim Hardaway Jr., Theo Pinson, Marquese Chriss are out.

BETTING TRENDS

Sacramento are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.

Sacramento are 3-17 SU in their last 20 games on the road.

Dallas are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games.

Dallas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home.

Prediction

The Mavericks are on a roll right now, they have won 8 of their last 10 games and covered the spread in their last 6, they're dealing with some injuries and Luka Doncic is questionable so it's probable he could be rested or have less workload. With that been said I think the total set for this game is too high, in the last 10 head to head these teams have averaged 218.9 ppg. The Mavs are allowing just 101.72 points at home and the Kings average 109.47 on the road. Take the Under.

PICK: Under 229.5 (-110)

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