Rockies vs Cubs (Game 1) Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 25 (8/25): MLB

Rockies vs Cubs (Game 1) Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 25 (8/25): MLB

Credit: photo by Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 2:20 p.m. EST
Rockies money line -121
Rockies run line n/a
Cubs money line +111
Cubs run line n/a
Over / under n/a

 

Key stats
  Rockies Cubs
Record 57-68 55-72
Road / home record 14-46 32-31
Last 10 record 6-4 3-7
Streak L2 W1
Over / under record 56-67-2 55-65-7
Runs / game 4.54 4.12
Runs allowed / game 4.84 4.91

Preview

The Colorado Rockies are at Wrigley Field playing the Chicago Cubs in the first game of a double header on Wednesday afternoon after last night's cancellation.  The Cubs took the first game of the series 6-4.  The Rockies have dropped 2 straight after winning their previous 5.  The Cubs came off a series sweep by the Royals, and have dropped 15 of their last 18.

The Rockies have been putting runs on the board, scoring 6 runs per game over their last 7, albeit 6 of those games were at Coors Field.

After scoring only 7 runs in the 3 games series at Cincinnati, the Cubs scored 6 in the series opener against the Rockies, with 9 hits.

Pitching matchup

Rockies

German Marquez (11-9, 3.80 ERA) pitches for the Rockies.  The long-time Rocky comes off a great 2020 season, with a 3.75 ERA, and has pitched well this season in 25 starts.  He started strong in August, pitching 6.0 innings vs the Marlins, giving up no runs on 2 hits, 1 walk and striking out 7.  His last two outings haven't been as good, however, going a combined 10.1 innings, giving up 10 earned runs on 12 hits and 3 walks, with 10 strikeouts.  Cubs batters have gone 6 for 23 (.261 AVG) against Marquez, with 2 home runs, no walks and 11 strikeouts.

Cubs

Zach Davies (6-10, 5.04 ERA) takes the mound for the Cubs.  He's coming off a fantastic 2020 season with the Padres, with a 2.73 ERA.  He hasn't done as well in his 26 starts this season, and his August has been largely horrible.  In his 4 starts this month, he's gone a combined 18.0 innings, giving up 18 earned runs (9.00 ERA), with 22 hits, 5 walks and 18 strikeouts.  He pitched against the Rockies earlier this month, getting rocked for 7 earned runs on 6 hits and 2 walks in 4.0 innings.  Rockies batters have gone 17 for 78 (.218 AVG) against Davies, with 3 home runs and 8 walks.

Prediction

The Rockies were hot in August but have cooled down in the last two games, although they scored 4 runs in both.  Marquez's last two outings were not good, but we think he gets back on track against a fairly weak Cubs side.  Davies has had a bad August, including in his game earlier this month at the Rockies.  The Rockies are terrible away from home, with a 14-46 record, but we think they take the first game of the double header today.

PICK: Rockies money line (-121)

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