Rays vs Orioles Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 28: MLB

Rays vs Orioles Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 28: MLB

Credit: photo by Scott Taetsch-SIPA USA

 
Odds
Time 7:05 p.m. EST
Rays money line -213
Rays run line -2 (+100)
Orioles money line +170
Orioles run line +2 (-118)
Over / under 9.5

 

Key stats
  Rays Orioles
Record 80-48 40-87
Road / home record 39-25 19-42
Last 10 record 9-1  2-8
Streak W5 L1
Over / under record 72-51-4 66-55-5
Runs / game 5.31 4.09
Runs allowed / game 4.08 5.87

 

Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays will play the second of three games in Camden Yards against the Baltimore Orioles after taking the series-opener 6-3 yesterday. These teams are at two completely different levels as the Rays have won 16 of the 17 games this season against them.

Tampa has been pitching at a good level as their staff is pitching to a 3.22 ERA in the last 15 days (13 games) against decent-hitting teams. 

Baltimore's pitching has been their Achilles heel as they are allowing 7.29 runs in their last 14 games.

Pitching matchup

Rays

Michael Wacha (2-4, 5.88 ERA) will be starting this game here for the Tampa Bay Rays. He is coming off a no-decision against the Chicago White Sox where he went five innings and allowed four runs (three earned) on eight hits with no walks and nine strikeouts. Baltimore's offense has seen the ball very well off of Wacha this season as hitters are 18-of-48 (.375) off him with nine runs, including four homers. They also have two walks and four strikeouts. When a lineup has a 1.111 team OPS off of you, you need to find a different way to pitch against them. 

Orioles

John Means (5-6, 3.50 ERA) will take the bump for the Baltimore Orioles in this divisional matchup. He is coming off a losing effort against the Atlanta Braves where he went six innings and allowed three runs on four hits with a pair of walks and five strikeouts.  Tampa Bay has hit him well this season as they have a .319/.330/.604 slash line as they are 29-of-91 with six home runs and 16 runs scored while drawing two walks and 20 strikeouts. Means is going to pound the zone in this game. 

Prediction

The Orioles are not good at pitching, especially in their bullpen. Tampa has shown the ability to win against them as they are 16-1 against them this season and the run differential in these games are 134-60 in favor of the Rays. Get plus odds here and go with the Tampa Bay Rays to keep the Baltimore Orioles guessing at the plate and winning by more than two runs here.  

PICK: Rays -2 (+100)

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