Rangers vs Indians Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 26: MLB

Rangers vs Indians Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 26: MLB

Credit: photo by David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:11 p.m. EST
Rangers money line +140
Rangers run line +1.5 (-135)
Indians money line -161
Indians run line -1.5 (+114)
Over / under 9.5 (-110)

 

Key stats
  Rangers Indians
Record 44-82 62-62
Road / home record 16-48 33-28
Last 10 record 3-7 6-4
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 62-58-6 66-53-5
Runs / game 3.79 4.40
Runs allowed / game 4.98 4.55

 

Preview

The Rangers are at Progressive Field for the final game of their three-game series against the Indians.  The Texas 7-2 loss last night now sees the series split 1-1 and are coming off of the back of a 2-1 series defeat.  The Indians win last night brings them back to .500. They've now won four of their last five games (after sweeping their previous series) and are averaging 5.4 runs per game over that span.

Pitching matchup

Rangers

Jordan Lyles (6-10, 5.34 ERA) Jordan Lyles will be first on the mound for the Rangers.  The experienced pitcher now in his fourteenth season has a WHIP of 1.46 and an ERA of 5.34 in 2021 bettering his 2020 ERA of 7.65 but far removed from his career-best 2.91 ERA in 2019.  For August, Lyles has surrendered 32 hits for 18 runs, six of which were home runs and he has 10 walks to go with 21 strikeouts in four games.  This is his first game against the Indians this season, but in four games against AL Central opponents, Lyles has given up 25 hits for 10 runs, has three walks and 24 strikeouts.

Indians

Sam Hentges (1-4, 7.52 ERA) Sam Hentges will start his twelfth game of the season for the Indians.  The rookie pitcher has an ERA of 7.52 and WHIP of 1.96 in 2021.  In his five games in August, Hentges has five runs surrendered off 13 hits with only three walks and 17 strikeouts.  Hentges hasn't played the Rangers this season but has struggled in 4 games against AL West opposition surrendering 13 runs off 15 hits.  

Prediction

These teams have gone back and forth on the previous two games of this series.  Cleveland's pitching has done a good job of keeping opposing bats modest recently but was undone by the Rangers batting in game one. The over / under at 9.5 seems achievable tonight.

PICK: Over 9.5 (-110)

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