Pirates vs White Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 31 (8/31): MLB

Pirates vs White Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 31 (8/31): MLB

Credit: photo by Mike Dinovo-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 8:10 p.m. EST
Pirates money line +260
Pirates run line +1.5 (+130)
White Sox money line -320
White Sox run line -1.5 (-150)
Over / under 9 (+100)

 

Key stats
  Pirates White Sox
Record 48-83 76-55
Road / home record 20-45 44-23
Last 10 record 6-4 5-5
Streak 1W 1W
Over / under record 60-64-7 60-63-8
Runs / game 3.59 5.05
Runs allowed / game 5.10 3.98

 

Preview

Today the Pirates travel to Chicago to take on the White Sox for a 2 game series.  These teams have faced each other 2 times splitting those games at 1-1.  The White Sox sit comfortably atop the AL Central, with a fully healthy lineup look for them to go on a serious run heading to the playoffs.  The Pirates on the other hand sit at the bottom of the NL Central, limping their way to the end of the season.

 

The Pirates come into this game after splitting their 4 game series at home against the Cardinals 2-2. For most of the season they’ve been a good contact team, limiting strikeouts and having good at bats.  Thats not the case anymore with some changes in their lineup. They don’t hit for a lot of power and have been striking out more over the last month.

 

The White Sox come into this 2 game series with a healthy lineup for which seems like for the first time this season. They exploded for a total of 30 runs in their 3 game series against the Cubs.  They were able to do that even while getting completely shut out in 1 game.  With this offense healthy the sky is the limit for this team and look for them to get on a roll.

 

 

Pitching Matchup

 

Pirates

 

Bryse Wilson (2-5, 4.35 ERA) will be on the bump for the Pirates today. He comes in to this game with an awful 5.38 XFIP and 1.37 WHIP.  Wilson was traded from Atlanta to the Pirates near the trade deadline and has pitched decent since.  He has 16% strikeout rate accompanied by an 8% walk rate.  He has had more success in the strikeout department lately but don’t expect that trend to continue against a healthy White Sox lineup. 

 

White Sox

 

Lucas Giolito (9-9, 3.68 ERA) will take the mound at home for the White Sox today. Giolito comes in to this game with a 4.03 XFIP and a 1.10 WHIP, he has regressed some compared to his 2020 season.  He owns a 28.2% strikeout rate accompanied by a 6.9% walk rate. He will look to dominate this Pirates line up once again, and pick up his 10th win of the season.    

 

Prediction

Bryce Wilson is in for a long day in the Chicago, the White Sox are back to full strength and boast a projected line up with a .202 ISO and .353 wOBA against right handed pitching this year.  Wilson’s low strikeout rate and high walk rate should provide this White Sox team with ample opportunities to put runs on the board. Giolito has regressed some this year, he is still an elite pitcher.  He allows power to same handed hitters and has been susceptible to the long ball so look for the Pirates to possibly run into a couple. 

 

PICK:  Over 9 (+100)

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