Nationals vs Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 27: MLB

Nationals vs Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 27: MLB

Credit: photo by Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:11 p.m. EST
Nationals money line +180
Nationals run line +1.5 (-106)
Mets money line -213
Mets run line -1.5 (-114)
Over / under 9 (-110)

 

Key stats
  Nationals Mets
Record 54-72 61-66
Road / home record 23-39 36-26
Last 10 record 4-6 2-8
Streak L2 L3
Over / under record 54-68-4 52-67-5
Runs / game 4.42 3.74
Runs allowed / game 4.82 4.00

 

Preview

Tonight the Nationals are in Citi Field for the first of their three-game series against the Mets.  The Nats lost each of their last two series 2-1 and are averaging 4.33 runs per game in their last 2 series.  The Mets were swept 3-0 in their last series and have just two wins in their last 10 games and are averaging 3 runs per game in that span.  The Mets lead the season head-to-head six wins to five.

Pitching matchup

Nationals

Paolo Espino (3-4, 4.28 ERA) Paolo Espino will be first on the mound for the Nationals.  Espino has a WHIP of 1.19 and an ERA of 4.28 in 2021 and had previous ERAs of 4.50 from two games in 2020 and 6.00 in 2017, his first year in the majors.  He has faced the Mets three times this season and gave up one run from seven hits with no walks and three strikeouts in his seven innings pitched and has an ERA of 1.29 against them in those games.  

Mets

Rich Hill (6-5, 4.13 ERA) Veteran pitcher Rich Hill will start for the Mets.  The 17-year pitcher in 2021 has an ERA of 4.13 to go along with a WHIP of 1.19.  In his two games against the Nationals in 2021, Hill pitched for nine innings surrendering 12 hits for seven runs - three of which were home runs - and has four walks and six strikeouts.  

Prediction

The Nationals bats have been improving recently averaging 5.75 runs per game in their last eight games while the Mets have been kept modest averaging 2.86 runs over the same eight-game period, but have done a good job of limiting opposition batting in recent games.  Only one of the Nats five wins against the Mets has come in New York and the Mets are above .500 at home.

PICK: Mets -1.5 (-114)

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