Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 25 (8/25): MLB

Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 25 (8/25): MLB

Credit: photo by Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Twins money line +140
Twins run line +1.0 (+100)
Red Sox money line -167
Red Sox run line -1.0 (-120)
Over / under 10.5 (-110)

 

Key stats
  Twins Red Sox
Record 54-71 72-55
Road / home record 24-38 40-25
Last 10 record 4-6 6-4
Streak L4 W2
Over / under record 72-46-7 57-67-3
Runs / game 4.62 5.02
Runs allowed / game 5.35 4.58

 

Preview

The Red Sox host the struggling Twins in the second game of a three game series Wednesday night.  The Red Sox took the first game 11-9 after hitting a walk off grand slam in the 11th in the finale vs the Rangers.  The Twins have now dropped 4 straight, with the Red Sox winners of 2 straight and 3 of 4.

The Twins have averaged 4.25 runs per game in their 4 game losing streak, and have been putting runs on the board in their last 10, but poor pitching has had them losers of those 4.

The Red Sox continue to hit the ball well, scoring 6.5 in their last 4 games.

Pitching matchup

Twins

Bailey Ober (1-2, 4.38 ERA) makes his 15th start in his debut MLB season.  He's been decent, and has had a pretty good August.  In his 3 starts this month, he's gone a combined 16.1 innings, giving up 5 earned runs on 18 hits, with 2 walks and 14 strikeouts.  He has yet to face the Red Sox.

Red Sox

Nick Pivetta (9-6, 4.43 ERA) takes the mound for the Red Sox.  He's had 2 good starts in August, and 2 bad starts.  Against the Orioles and Blue Jays, he went a combined 12.0 innings, giving up 1 earned run on 4 hits, 3 walks and 13 strikeouts.  He had a short outing against the Rays early in the month, going 4.2 innings, giving up 3 earned runs.  His last start at the Yankees was disastrous, lasting only 1.2 innings, giving up 4 earned runs on 4 hits and 3 walks.  Twins batters have gone 9 for 20 (.450 AVG) against Pivetta, with 5 home runs, 2 walks and 3 strikeouts.

Prediction

While the Twins have lost four straight, they've actually managed to score 4.25 on average in those games.  Bailey Ober has done well in August, while Pivetta bounces between great games and shockers.  We see value in taking the Twins as dogs here, given Pivetta's history (albeit short) against the Twins, where they've hit 5 home runs in 20 at bats.  Take the road dog to bounce back after dropping last night's game, where they stayed close all night.

PICK: Twins money line (+140)

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