Twins vs Indians Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 7 (9/7): MLB

Twins vs Indians Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 7 (9/7): MLB

Credit: photo by Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 6:10 p.m. EST
Twins money line +122
Twins run line +1.5 (-145)
Indians money line -142
Indians run line -1.5 (+125)
Over / under 9.5 (-115)

 

Key stats
  Twins Indians
Record 60-77 68-67
Road / home record 28-41 35-31
Last 10 record 5-5 5-5
Streak 2W 1L
Over / under record 76-53-8 71-59-5
Runs / game 4.52 4.51
Runs allowed / game 5.34 4.54

 

Preview

The Twins take on the Cleveland Indians tonight, game 2 of their 4 game series. The Twins were able to take game 1 last night 5-2.  The Twins finally got Byron Buxton back in the lineup but that is the only positive for them, as they sit firmly outside of making the playoffs.  The Indians enter this game 8.5 games back for a wildcard spot.  They'll need to go on a serious run here if they hope to have any chance at making the playoffs. This weather is perfect in Cleveland tonight, 87 degree's with winds blowing out to right center at 15 mph. The bats should be alive in this one.     

Pitching matchup

Twins

John Gant (0-3, 6.00 ERA) will take the mound for the visiting Twins tonight.  He enters this game with a 1.10 WHIP and an ugly 5.75 XFIP.  This season he has an 18.8% strikeout rate and a high 14.6% walk rate. Gant's inability to command his pitches and strike guys out has been his downfall this year, although he has kept his walks in check since being dealt to the Twins. During most of the season he has been able to limit power up until his last 5 starts.  In his last 5 outting's he has gone 15.1 innings, 5 BB's, 17 K's, 3 Hr's, 13 ER's.  He will need to continue to keep control of his pitches and limit the power if he wants to have success in this one.     

Indians

Aaron Civale (10-2, 3.32 ERA) makes his return tonight at home against the Twins.  Civale returns after a little over 2 months absence, last pitching on June 21st.  He enters this game with a 1.06 WHIP and 4.35 XFIP.  Civale has made a few rehab starts going 11.1 innings, 3 BB's, 12 K's, 5 hits, and allowing only 3 ER's. He went 5 innings in his last rehab start so he should be able to go 5 or 6 in this one, but don't look for the Indians to push him either. Civale has been prone to give up some power and the Twins middle of the lineup is loaded with power bats. He will look to build off his rehab starts and pick up his 11th win of the season. 

Prediction

This game will be played in perfect hitting weather, 87 degrees , and winds blowing out to right center around 15mph. I will rock with the bats in this one and target the total. Gant has been able to command his pitches recently but I doubt that will be enough as he has allowed some more power too.  The Twins boast a really good road offense this season and I think they are able to get to Civale in this one.  

PICK: Over 9.5 (-115)

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