Rockies vs Dodgers Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 28: MLB

Rockies vs Dodgers Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 28: MLB

Credit: photo by Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 9:10 p.m. EST
Rockies money line +210
Rockies run line +1.5 (+100)
Dodgers money line -263
Dodgers run line -1.5 (-120)
Over / under 9.0

 

Key stats
  Rockies Dodgers
Record 59-69 81-48
Road / home record 16-47 42-22
Last 10 record 7-3 8-2
Streak W2 L1
Over / under record 56-68-3 57-64-8
Runs / game 4.58 5.14
Runs allowed / game 4.86 3.50

 

Preview

The Colorado Rockies will remain at Dodger Stadium for the middle game of this three-game set against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Dodgers have been the better team in this matchup, winning 10 of the first 14 games between these two franchises. 

The Rockies have been hitting well recently as in their previous 12 games, they are averaging 5.58 runs per game and have the seventh-highest OPS in that stretch at .787 thus far. 

The Dodgers have an All-Star roster this season but have been struggling at the plate recently. In their last five games, Los Angeles has posted a .542 team OPS with 3.6 runs per game. 

Pitching matchup

Rockies

Jon Gray (7-10, 4.13 ERA) will be on the mound here for the Colorado Rockies. He is coming off a loss against the Arizona Diamondbacks where he went 5.1 innings and allowed five runs on six hits with three walks and eight strikeouts. Even with the solid lineup that Los Angeles has put up, Jon Gray has limited hitters as they are 19-of-78 (.244) against him with four homers and seven runs scored. He has walked eight Dodgers hitters and struck out 21 throughout four different starts. 

Dodgers

David Price (4-2, 3.82 ERA) has been pitching decently well as of late for the Los Angeles Dodgers. He is coming off a losing effort against the New York Mets where he lasted four innings and allowed three runs on three hits with two walks and four strikeouts. Price is familiar with the divisional-rival Rockies as Colorado is 13-of-52 (.250) off him with four home runs and total runs scored. He also walked a pair of Rockies and struck out 14 of them. 

Prediction

Despite your preconceived notions about this game, the Rockies run line provides a lot of value here. Jon Gray and David Price are similar pitchers and though the Rockies are probably going to wind up losing this game, this should be closer than expected. Colorado has been winning as of late and are coming off a win in the opening game of this series, so they have momentum. All in all, go with Colorado to cover the run line against a pitcher they are familiar with. 

PICK: Colorado Rockies run line +1.5 (+100)

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