Phillies vs Nationals Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 1 (9/1): MLB

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 1 (9/1): MLB

Credit: photo by Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 7:05 p.m. EST
Phillies money line -175
Phillies run line -1.5 (-110)
Nationals money line +150
Nationals run line +1.5 (-110)
Over / under 8.5 (-120)

 

Key stats
  Phillies Nationals
Record 68-64 55-76
Road / home record 29-36 31-35
Last 10 record 6-4 2-8
Streak 5W 4L
Over / under record 65-63-4 58-69-4
Runs / game 4.53 4.39
Runs allowed / game 4.63 4.85

 

Preview

This is a tale of 2 different teams, the Phillies are fighting to make the playoffs, while the Nationals became sellers at the trade deadline.  Philadelphia has taken advantage of this part in the schedule and have been able to win 5 straight games coming into tonight. Look for them to continue that win streak against a weak and depleted nationals team who have lost 4 straight.  

Pitching matchup

Phillies

Aaron Nola (7-7, 4.30 ERA)  will be on the mound for the Phiilies today when they face the Nationals.  He comes into this  game with a 1.10 WHIP and a nice 3.45 XFIP.  He carries a very nice 30.1% strikeout rate followed by a 5.0% walk rate.  The projected lineup for this Nationals team strikes out at a 24.7% clip this season. Look for Nola to have a quality start against a struggling and weak Nationals team.

Nationals

Paulo Espino (4-4, 4.13 ERA) will be handed the ball to take on this Phillies team today.  He enters this game with a 1.17 WHIP and 4.97 XFIP.  He has a 19.7% strikeout rate accompanied by a 4.8% walk rate.  Espino has had an up and down season to this point, allowing hard contact to both sides of the plate.  This Phillies team jumped on him last time they met for 6 ER's in 5 innings.   

Prediction

The Phillies come into this game having won 5 straight, they need to keep this up to have a chance to make the playoffs. Nola should have no problem keeping this Nationals offense at bay and producing a nice outing.  The Phillies bats should be able to get to Espino and provide plenty of support for Nola. 

PICK: Phillies -1.5 (-110)

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