Athletics vs Mariners Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 29 (9/29): MLB

Athletics vs Mariners Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 29 (9/29): MLB

Credit: photo by Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

 
Odds
Time 10:10 p.m. EST
Athletics money line -115
Athletics run line -1.5 (+135)
Mariners money line -105 
Mariners run line +1.5 (-160)
Over / under 7.5 (-110)

 

Key stats
  Athletics Mariners
Record 85-73 87-70
Road / home record 42-35 44-33
Last 10 record 4-6 9-1
Streak 2L 3W
Over / under record 71-82-5 81-72-4
Runs / game 4.58 4.33
Runs allowed / game 4.18 4.66

 

Preview

Tonight we have the Athletics taking on the Mariners. The Athletics enter this game currently 3.5 games back for the second AL wildcard spot. One of the team they are competing against for that spot is the Mariners suprisingly. The Mariners currently sit ahead of the Athletics as they are 0.5 games back of the second wildcard spot. This is a big series for both teams as they make a push for the postseason with Seattle in a much better position.

Pitching matchup

Athletics

Frankie Montas (13-9, 3.48 ERA) will toe the rubber for the Athletics when they take on the Mariners. Montas enters this game with a 1.19 WHIP and 4.06 XFIP. This season he carries a nice 26.6% strikeout rate along with a 7.4% walk rate. Montas has been solid this year, in his 2 meetings against this Mariners team has has racked up double digit strikeouts in both meetings while allowing a total of 7 earned runs in 12 innings, Seattle got to Montas for 4 runs and then 3 runs in their second meeting. Montas has shown his strikeout upside in this matchup this year but has also allowed some runs at the same time. He will look to strikeout a good portion of these hitters once again and put the A's in a position to win.

Mariners

Logan Gilbert (6-5, 4.83 ERA) will be on the mound for the Mariners when they host the Athletics. Gilbert enters this game with a 1.19 WHIP and 4.46 XFIP. This season he carries a nice 25.9% strikeout rate along with a low 5.8% walk rate. Gilbert has been good for the most part since being called up this season. He has been hit hard and gives up power to both sides of the plate and that has hurt him in some games. He's had a solid month of September and will look to continue that streak against an A's team that has faired mildly in their previous meetings.

Prediction

I'll look to target the total in this one as both teams have shown they are familiar both pitchers. The Mariners are on a roll and I think they can put up a few runs on Montas while the Athletics have shown they can produce against Gilbert.

PICK: Over 7.5 (-110)

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